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Learning the Brazilian interest rate curve

Published: Mar 11, 2024
Volume: 22
Keywords: Interest rates Economic indicators Interest rate curve Curvature Duration Fixed income Discount curve Brazilian federal bonds Kernel ridge regression Differential evolution Risk measure

Authors

Abstract

This work aims to implement and analyze the nonparametric kernel ridge regression (KR) proposal developed in Filipovic, Pelger and Ye (2022) for the construction of the term structure of interest rates from Brazilian federal government bonds. Specifically, we investigate how this model compares with other parametric models in terms of usability, accuracy and robustness. We build the historical yield curves not only for the KR model, using Filipovic et al (2022) own routines, but also for the ANBIMA reference model based on Svensson (1994). As in Gilli, Große and Schumann (2010), we implement the parametric optimization of the factor model of Svensson (1994) using the genetic algorithm of Differential Evolution of Storn and Price (1997).


How to cite

Luis Giovanni Faria. Learning the Brazilian interest rate curve. Brazilian Review of Finance, v. 22, n. 1, 2024. p. 1-29. DOI: 10.12660/rbfin.v22n1.2024.89588.