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Risk-taking channel of monetary policy: A cointegration analysis

Published: Sep 1, 2024
Volume: 22
Keywords: Monetary transmission Risk-taking channel Interest rate Cointegration

Authors

Felipe Vieira Passos
Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro
Carlos Enrique Carrasco-Gutierrez
Universidade Católica de Brasília
Paulo Roberto Amorim Loureiro
Universidade de Brasília

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of monetary transmission through the new risk-taking channel, which has the potential to trigger financial crises. We used the ARDL and VEC models with Brazilian data from 2003 to 2021. The results indicate a negative and significant relationship between monetary policy interest rates and banking risk, especially in the long term. This suggests the pro-cyclical nature of financial institutions in response to monetary policy: in scenarios of increasing (or decreasing) interest rates and economic crises, financial institutions become more averse (or prone) to risk. We also observe the heterogeneity of risk in relation to stock market conditions, public accounts, uncertainties and exchange rates.

How to cite

Felipe Vieira Passos, Carlos Enrique Carrasco-Gutierrez, Paulo Roberto Amorim Loureiro. Risk-taking channel of monetary policy: A cointegration analysis. Brazilian Review of Finance, v. 22, n. 3, 2024. p. 77-114. DOI: 10.12660/rbfin.v22n3.2024.91179.