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Portfolio resampling in the Brazilian stock market: Can it outperforms Markowitz optimization?

Published: Sep 1, 2024
Volume: 22
Keywords: Bootstrapping Covariance matrix Diversification Markowitz Portfolio allocation

Authors

André Barbosa Oliveira
Universidade Federal Fluminense
Carlos Trucíos
Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
Pedro L. Valls Pereira
Escola de Economia de São Paulo - Fundação Getúlio Vargas

Abstract

Markowitz optimization plays a crucial role in modern portfolio theory. However, it is well known that Markowitz optimization is highly affected by estimation errors in the mean vector and covariance matrix, resulting in extreme and/or unrealistic portfolio weights, lack of diversification, and poor out-of-sample performance. In response to these challenges, Michaud and Michaud (1998) proposed a heuristic portfolio resampling approach aimed to deliver more diversified and better out-of-sample portfolio performance. This approach has received both criticism and praise among academics and practitioners, with the main critique being the unclear economic benefits of applying this method to empirical data. To contribute to this ongoing debate, our study assess the performance of the Michaud and Michaud (1998) portfolio resampling approach using data from the Brazilian stock market. Additionally, we evaluate whether a resampling approach based on factor structure can yield superior out-of-sample performance. Our findings indicate no evidence of superiority over Markowitz optimization, reinforcing criticisms of the portfolio resampling approach.


How to cite

André Barbosa Oliveira, Carlos Trucíos, Pedro L. Valls Pereira. Portfolio resampling in the Brazilian stock market: Can it outperforms Markowitz optimization?. Brazilian Review of Finance, v. 22, n. 3, 2024. p. 57-75. DOI: 10.12660/rbfin.v22n3.2024.91552.