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Effects of oil shocks on markets in G7 countries

Published: Sep 1, 2024
Volume: 22
Keywords: Stocks volatility Oil prices Oil shocks Structural VAR Local Projection

Authors

Vinícius Phillipe de Albuquerquemello
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
Marcelo Eduardo Alves da Silva
Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
Rennan Kertlly Medeiros
Universidade Federal do Vale do São Francisco

Abstract

This paper aims to assess the effects of oil price shocks on the stock markets of the G7 countries. We develop an oil sentiment indicator that measures the volatility of oil prices. We analyze oil shocks on the stock market of the G7 countries, using a structural VAR and Local Projection approach. Our results suggest that oil shocks explain 8% of the US stock market, 10% in Germany, and 7% in the UK. These results point out the possibility of using this sentiment variable for forecasting the stock market’s volatility.


How to cite

Vinícius Phillipe de Albuquerquemello, Marcelo Eduardo Alves da Silva, Rennan Kertlly Medeiros. Effects of oil shocks on markets in G7 countries. Brazilian Review of Finance, v. 22, n. 3, 2024. p. 1-13. DOI: 10.12660/rbfin.v22n3.2024.91756.